Is there a burgeoning missile race ?

来源:百度文库 编辑:神马文学网 时间:2024/04/19 14:53:42

Is there a burgeoning missile race ?

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2010-5-14 11:04



India again intends to deploy it ballistic missiles along the Chinese border.


What is perhaps most worrisome in the region is the fact that missile superiority for one protagonist is perceived as disadvantageous to the other, which could result in a zero-sum missile race.

There are no regional political or diplomatic initiatives in place to slow down the regional missile race. Besides, there is scant public knowledge or debate in the regional media about how to manage the dense missile environment on the subcontinent. There is reason to believe that the regional missile race can be addressed through diplomacy and confidence-building measures (CBM) aimed at transparency. China, India and Pakistan would have to collectively address the regional missile developments sooner rather than later and institute mechanisms to prevent accidental missile launches and alleviate anxiety and fear.

The rapid development and deployment of cruise and ballistic missile capabilities in recent years has raised the security stakes on the South Asian subcontinent. The three major nuclear states—India, China and Pakistan—have been sharpening their respective missile capabilities.

Chinese Rear Admiral Zhang Zhaozhong of the People's Liberation Army National Defense University (NDU) made the observation that India still lags behind China in missile technology by more than a decade and "It's still unknown when the Agni-III will be deployed by the Indian army, though they claim the missile is ready for use. And it might take at least another five years to ready the Agni-V." He has also set aside the notion of an Indian missile threat and stated, "In developing its military technology, China has never taken India as a strategic rival, and none of its weapons were specifically designed to contain India"

RA Zhang's statements were in response to India's Chief Military Scientist V.K. Saraswat’s comments that, "After Agni III and Agni V, as far as cities in China and Pakistan are concerned, there will be no target that we (India) want to hit but can't hit".

Further adding fuel to the fire, Sarasvat, the chief of DRDO (Defense Research and Development Organization)—one of Asia's largest government owned defense contractors and a leading missile developer—also noted that, "We (India) feel our accuracy is better than China's DF-21".

The Chinese Foreign Ministry, however, has played down the verbal duel between the two experts and observed, "The China-India relation is friendly and cooperative. China will not be a threat to India, and nor will India pose a threat to China".

India is investing a substantial amount of technological resources to develop a robust missile shield. The Indian Air Force and the Indian Army are planning to deploy the Akash (25 km range supersonic missiles; 88 percent kill probability) air defense systems with the associated network of radars along the India China border and the first system is scheduled to be made operational by 2011.

India’s mindset seen in all this desperate military deployments spree along the borders is something of a Sphinx--- For fear of being attacked? Saber-rattling intention? Suffering paranoia? Eagerness to growing up to be the unchallenged regional power?


By the way, what’s a correct analysis?